...that I would choose to play on Empire when I haven't played there in months? What are the chances I'd decide to play in the 10K guarantee? What are the chances another blogger would decide to play in the same tournament? What are the chances we'd both end up in the money and at the final table? And what are the chances we'd be among the final three battling it out for the remaining $5000+ in prize money.
I think it's a lot like catching a one-outer on the river.
Still, it happened. I'm too busy today to write it up properly, but DoubleAs took some time to post his version.